Determinants of Employment Opportunities in Kotawaringin Barat Regency: An OLS Approach
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.54259/manabis.v5i2.8221Kata Kunci:
Employment Opportunities, Economic Growth, Labor Force, Inflation, Investment, Regional DevelopmentAbstrak
Employment opportunities are an important indicator of regional economic development because they reflect the ability of an economy to absorb labor and improve community welfare. This study aims to analyze the effects of economic growth, labor force, inflation, and investment on employment opportunities in Kotawaringin Barat Regency during the period 2011–2025. The study employs a quantitative approach using secondary time-series data obtained from Statistics Indonesia (BPS), the Regional Development Planning Agency (Bappeda), and other relevant institutions. Multiple linear regression analysis based on the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method was applied using EViews software. Prior to hypothesis testing, classical assumption tests consisting of normality, multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity, and autocorrelation tests were conducted to ensure the validity of the model. The results indicate that economic growth, labor force, and investment have positive and statistically significant effects on employment opportunities. Economic growth exhibits the strongest influence, indicating that regional economic expansion substantially contributes to labor absorption. Meanwhile, inflation has a negative and significant effect on employment opportunities, suggesting that rising prices may reduce firms’ capacity to create jobs. Simultaneously, economic growth, labor force, inflation, and investment significantly affect employment opportunities, with an R² value of 0.9274, indicating that 92.74% of the variation in employment opportunities is explained by the variables included in the model. The findings imply that policies aimed at sustaining economic growth, improving labor quality, maintaining price stability, and encouraging investment are essential for expanding employment opportunities and reducing unemployment in Kotawaringin Barat Regency.
Unduhan
Referensi
Anjani, D. S., Sarfiah, S. N., & Islami, F. S. (2022). Pengaruh tingkat inflasi, pertumbuhan ekonomi, dan nilai ekspor terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja di Indonesia tahun 1988–2020. DINAMIC: Directory Journal of Economic, 3(4). https://doi.org/10.31002/dinamic.v3i4.2727
Arsyad, L. (2016). Ekonomi pembangunan (5th ed.). UPP STIM YKPN.
Asian Development Bank. (2024). Asian development outlook 2024: Employment and economic transformation in developing Asia. Asian Development Bank.
Badan Pusat Statistik Kabupaten Kotawaringin Barat. (2011–2025). Kotawaringin Barat dalam angka. BPS Kabupaten Kotawaringin Barat.
Bayar, Y. (2014). Effects of economic growth on employment in emerging economies. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 4(4), 789–796.
Dewi, F. (2016). Analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi kesempatan kerja di Provinsi Lampung (Undergraduate thesis). Universitas Lampung.
Gujarati, D. N., & Porter, D. C. (2009). Basic econometrics (5th ed.). McGraw-Hill.
International Labour Organization. (2024). World employment and social outlook: Trends 2024. International Labour Organization.
Islam, R. (2004). The nexus of economic growth, employment and poverty reduction. International Labour Review, 143(4), 335–354.
Jhingan, M. L. (2016). The economics of development and planning (41st ed.). Vrinda Publications.
Kuncoro, M. (2018). Perencanaan pembangunan daerah: Teori dan aplikasi. Gramedia Pustaka Utama.
Mankiw, N. G. (2021). Principles of economics (9th ed.). Cengage Learning.
Maryam, S., Hailuddin, H., & Endri, E. (2025). Demographic dividend, economic and employment growth in Indonesia. International Journal of Innovative Research and Scientific Studies, 8(3). https://doi.org/10.53894/ijirss.v8i3.7244
Nababan, T. S. (2026). Unveiling the simultaneous relationship between economic growth and employment opportunity: A panel TSLS approach. Frontiers in Research, 6(2), 89–105. https://doi.org/10.71350/30624533137
Nainggolan, I. (2009). Analisis faktor yang mempengaruhi kesempatan kerja pada kabupaten/kota di Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Universitas Sumatera Utara.
Nurvira, N., & Ichsan, I. (2021). Analisis hubungan inflasi, PMA, penyerapan tenaga kerja, dan pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Regional Unimal, 4(2). https://doi.org/10.29103/jeru.v4i2.6052
Prahutama, A. (2013). Model regresi nonparametrik dengan pendekatan deret Fourier pada kasus tingkat pengangguran terbuka di Jawa Timur. Prosiding Seminar Nasional Statistika Universitas Diponegoro.
Rini, E. F., & Septriani, S. (2025). Impact analysis of minimum wages, investments, and inflation on labor absorption in the manufacturing industry in Indonesia. Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Terapan, 10(1). https://doi.org/10.20473/jiet.v10i1.58541
Simanjuntak, P. J. (2001). Pengantar ekonomi sumber daya manusia. LPFE-UI.
Soebagyo, D. (2007). Kausalitas Granger PDRB terhadap kesempatan kerja di Provinsi Jawa Tengah. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, 8(2), 177–192.
Sukirno, S. (2019). Makroekonomi: Teori pengantar. Rajawali Pers.
Tjiptoherijanto, P. (2001). Proyeksi penduduk, angkatan kerja, tenaga kerja, dan peran serikat pekerja dalam peningkatan kesejahteraan. Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Indonesia.
Todaro, M. P., & Smith, S. C. (2020). Economic development (13th ed.). Pearson Education.
World Bank. (2024). World development indicators. World Bank.
Wulandari, R., Nurfatimah, S., & Revaljo. (2026). The effect of inflation, foreign direct investment, and labor force on Indonesia's GDP growth from 1990 to 2024. MAGISMA: Journal of Economics and Business, 14(1).
Unduhan
Diterbitkan
Cara Mengutip
Terbitan
Bagian
Lisensi
Hak Cipta (c) 2026 Hasaruddin Hasaruddin, Siti Khotimah
Artikel ini berlisensi Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
